6. World mortality statistics
6. World mortality statistics

6. World mortality statistics

Vienna 4/10/2020

Entire blog as a PDF eBook.

When millions of people are killed, the tragedy of individuals and their families is lost.
Death is an integral part of life. Anyone who is poor or rich, starving or living in luxury has to die. This is probably the only justice we all yearn for.

Important note!
The method of comparing the two estimates used here can have a large error. In particular, the data on the Worldmeter website, although reliable, can contain errors. The algorithms used there are unknown to me. Current data on the number of deaths are naturally estimated based on many factors. As a rule, the final population data are based on information from three or more years ago. This older data also has an error, but this error is within the error tolerance. Still, the sources I use are the most reliable so far.

These forecasts were made for the United Nations Population Division in 2017 and are still valid.

mortality statistic

Source.

According to statistical forecasts, 60.20 million people will die this year. Well, the first quarter has 91 days, so 91/366 * 60,200,000 = 14.970.000. So many deaths according to statistics for the first quarter.

We already know the site https://www.worldometers.info/, it gives current death statistics. Among other things, the number of deaths this year in the world.
By March 31, 2020, 14,650,000 people had died worldwide. We got a difference of 320,000 fewer people who actually died.

Despite this “monstrous” pandemic, 320,000 fewer people die than predicted?
In my opinion, this is the result of panic in the world that made most people stay at home. There are fewer traffic accidents, fewer work accidents, fewer murders, and surprise: fewer suicides.

I will not draw any conclusions from this – it will impose itself.

Vienna 5/1/2020

Let’s repeat the calculations with data from the same sources for the first four months of this year.
On April 30, 121 days have passed since the beginning of the year. So 121/366 * 60.200.000 = 19.900.00. This is the estimated number of people who died in the world during the first four months of this year.

According worldometers.info in the world, 19,489,700 people died from the beginning of the year to midnight from April 30 to May 1, 2020.

While the largest, rather the most blown, pandemic was holding people’s breath, 410,000 fewer people died than the statistics predicted!
A month ago there were 320,000 people.

And again the conclusions are obvious.

Vienna 6/1/2020

The next month of the artificial pandemic has passed. We have had 152 days since the beginning of the year.
So 152/366 * 60,200,000 = 25,000,000. This is the estimated number of people who died in the world in the first five months of this year.

According to worldometers.info this year 24,485,000 people worldwide died until midnight on May 31, 2020.

During this time, 515,000 fewer people died than predicted!
A month ago there were 410,000 people.

Vienna 7/1/2020

Half of 2020 has passed. We have had 182 days since the beginning of the year.
So 182/366 * 60.200.000 = 29.936.000. This is the estimated number of people who died in the world in the first half of this year.

According to worldometers.info this year, until midnight June 30, 2020, 29,318,000 people died.

During this period, 618,000 fewer people died than predicted!
A month ago it was 515,000 people.

Vienna 8/1/2020

We have had 213 days since the beginning of the year.
So 213/366 * 60.200.000 = 35.034.000. This is the estimated number of people who died in the world in the first seven month of this year.

According to worldometers.info this year, until midnight July 31 2020, 34.313.000 people died.

During this period, 721,000 fewer people died than predicted!
A month ago it was 618,000 people.

Vienna 9/1/2020

We have had 244 days since the beginning of the year.
So 244/366 * 60.200.000 = 39.308.000. This is the estimated number of people who died in the world in the first eight month of this year.

According to worldometers.info this year, until midnight August 31 2020, 39.308.000 people died.

During this period, 825,000 fewer people died than predicted!
A month ago it was 721,000 people.

Vienna 10/1/2020

We have had 274 days since the beginning of the year.
So 274/366 * 60.200.000 = 45.068.000. This is the estimated number of people who died in the world in the first nine month of this year.

According to worldometers.info this year, until midnight September 30 2020, 44.142.000 people died.

During this period, 926,000 fewer people died than predicted!
A month ago it was 825,000 people.

Vienna 11/1/2020

We have had 305 days since the beginning of the year.
So 305/366 * 60.200.000 = 50.167.000. This is the estimated number of people who died in the world in the first ten month of this year.

According to worldometers.info this year, until midnight October 31 2020, 49.144.000 people died.

During this period, 1 023,000 fewer people died than predicted!
A month ago it was 926,000 people.

The UN death predictions for 2020 and later years on ourworldindata.org have been adjusted to the current death process.
A value of 59,230,000 instead of 60,200,000 is now assumed for 2020.
The worldwide forecast death statistics for 2020 were reduced by almost a million people in the year of “the great plandemy”!

Weltmortalitätsstatistik

Source.

For this reason I will not make any further comparisons for November and other months in the future.

Author: Marek Wojcik

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